50 Cent

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.26
0.52 coins
Advertised RTP
89.27%
EV $0.23 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.94%
9,552 openings, odds method
Variance
331.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
57.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
84.89%±108.061,089 openings
7 days
78.19%±38.038,790 openings
30 days
77.94%±36.499,552 openings
since tracking started
77.94%±36.499,552 openings
-0.5%96.5%193.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,08984.89%±108.1−0.1σodds
7d8,79078.19%±38.0−0.6σodds
30d9,55277.94%±36.5−0.6σodds
All9,55277.94%±36.5−0.6σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,560 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100,000$1,371 2,743 coins5.9%00.1—
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 50,000$331 661 coins2.8%00.2—
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 33,333$157 314 coins2.0%00.3—
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 25,000$60.81 122 coins1.0%00.4—
AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 20,000$51.39 103 coins1.1%00.5—
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 10,000$40.95 81.9 coins1.8%11.0—
AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$35.95 71.89 coins1.5%11.0—
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · Ancient1 in 4,000$12.42 24.84 coins1.3%22.40.84×
AUG | Chameleon (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 2,000$3.47 6.94 coins0.7%64.81.26×
AUG | Random Access (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 1,000$3.00 5.99 coins1.3%99.60.94×
AUG | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 345$1.31 2.61 coins1.6%3727.71.33×
AUG | Aristocrat (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 200$1.26 2.52 coins2.7%5147.81.07×
AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 100$0.83 1.66 coins3.6%8695.60.90×
AUG | Ricochet (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 100$0.51 1.02 coins2.2%8795.60.91×
AUG | Condemned (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff15.0%$0.38 0.76 coins24.6%1,4081434.00.98×
AUG | Plague (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff25.0%$0.28 0.57 coins30.7%2,4342390.01.02×
Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec10.0%$0.09 0.18 coins3.9%933956.00.98×
Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue10.0%$0.09 0.17 coins3.7%952956.01.00×
Glock-18 | Wraiths (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff10.0%$0.07 0.14 coins3.0%1,010956.01.06×
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 14$0.07 0.13 coins2.0%666669.21.00×
Glock-18 | Off World (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 20$0.06 0.11 coins1.2%426478.00.89×
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 20$0.04 0.07 coins0.8%486478.01.02×
Glock-18 | Winterized (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 20$0.01 0.03 coins0.3%507478.01.06×
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 20$0.01 0.02 coins0.2%458478.00.96×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)weapon · classified$0.260.52 coins$40.9581.9 coins157.5x
AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New)weapon · covert$0.260.52 coins$35.9571.89 coins138.3x

Latest dropsnewest first

AUG | Condemned (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff$0.260.52 coins$0.380.76 coins1.46x
AUG | Condemned (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff$0.260.52 coins$0.380.76 coins1.46x
AUG | Plague (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.260.52 coins$0.280.57 coins1.10x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.260.52 coins$0.040.07 coins0.13x
Glock-18 | Winterized (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$0.260.52 coins$0.010.03 coins0.06x
AUG | Condemned (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff$0.260.52 coins$0.380.76 coins1.46x
AUG | Plague (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.260.52 coins$0.280.57 coins1.10x
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$0.260.52 coins$0.070.13 coins0.25x
AUG | Plague (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.260.52 coins$0.280.57 coins1.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.27%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$0.2689.27%24
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 0.0%covert 0.1%Ancient 0.0%restricted 0.1%industrial 5.3%#8847ff 0.5%#4b69ff 41.0%mil spec 16.0%#87c7ff 15.0%light blue 10.0%Rare 12.0%best hit $40.95 (157.5x)