7% BANGS

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.49
2.97 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
97.21%
960 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
8 openings · below min
7 days
64 openings · below min
30 days
960 openings · below min
since tracking started
960 openings · below min
-0.5%88.3%177.0%

Small sample. 960 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h80.34%±0.00—sample
7d6470.47%±106.1—sample
30d96097.21%±56.6—sample
All96097.21%±56.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.492.97 coins$208416 coins140.1x
P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.492.97 coins$208416 coins140.1x
Charm | POP Artcharm · #8847ff$1.492.97 coins$125250 coins84.18x

Latest dropsnewest first

MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$1.492.97 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$1.492.97 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$1.492.97 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$1.492.97 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$1.492.97 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$1.492.97 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$1.492.97 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecBigDmans$1.492.97 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$1.492.97 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$1.492.97 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $208 (140.1x)