Price
$99.61
199 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
76.83%
202 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 202 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · knifes$99.61199 coins$1,7063,412 coins17.13x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2$99.61199 coins$1,1192,238 coins11.23x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4$99.61199 coins$9441,888 coins9.48x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4$99.61199 coins$9441,888 coins9.48x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4$99.61199 coins$9441,888 coins9.48x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4$99.61199 coins$9441,888 coins9.48x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Knives$99.61199 coins$7231,447 coins7.26x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Knives$99.61199 coins$7231,447 coins7.26x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4$99.61199 coins$9441,888 coins9.48x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $1,828 (18.35x)