Anubis
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.75
5.5 coins
Advertised RTP
89.94%
EV $2.47 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
110.93%
4,438 openings, odds method
Variance
128.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 57
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,438 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$2.755.5 coins$2,8135,625 coins1,023x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.94%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.75 | 89.94% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%covert knife 0.1%pink 0.1%other 0.5%restricted 29.5%classified 11.0%Mythical 6.0%blue 6.0%#4b69ff 46.7%best hit $2,813 (1,023x)