Aqua Juicer

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$122.27

245 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $110.04 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

96.65%

6 openings, odds method

Variance

2.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

48.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

52.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

30 days

6 openings · below min

since tracking started

6 openings · below min

-0.5%114.0%228.5%

Small sample. 6 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	0	—	—	—
30d	6	96.65%±131.3	—	odds
All	6	96.65%±131.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 20,000	$12.1K 24,151 coins	0.5%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband	1 in 20,000	$10.9K 21,888 coins	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire	1 in 20,000	$10.6K 21,246 coins	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 20,000	$10.4K 20,866 coins	0.5%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B	1 in 100	$754 1,507 coins	6.8%	0	0.1	—
Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert	1 in 100	$501 1,002 coins	4.6%	1	0.1	—
★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 100	$458 917 coins	4.2%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$371 742 coins	3.4%	0	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Night (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 100	$287 573 coins	2.6%	0	0.1	—
★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · gold	1 in 100	$264 527 coins	2.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	42.0%	$188 376 coins	71.7%	1	2.5	0.40×
P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified	10.4%	$5.17 10.34 coins	0.5%	1	0.6	—
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)weapon · classified	10.4%	$5.13 10.26 coins	0.5%	0	0.6	—
AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	10.4%	$5.10 10.2 coins	0.5%	1	0.6	—
Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New)weapon · classified	10.4%	$5.04 10.08 coins	0.5%	0	0.6	—
G3SG1 \| Demeter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	10.4%	$5.02 10.04 coins	0.5%	2	0.6	—

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$122245 coins$5011,002 coins4.10x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

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No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$122	90.00%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 45.0%contraband 0.0%#EB4B4B 1.0%Covert 1.0%gold 1.0%classified 41.6%mil spec 10.4%best hit $501 (4.10x)