ARCTIC BLAST

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$125.00
250 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
67.36%
238 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
238 openings · below min
30 days
238 openings · below min
since tracking started
238 openings · below min
-0.5%73.8%148.0%

Small sample. 238 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1219.25%±14.9—sample
7d23867.36%±80.0—sample
30d23867.36%±80.0—sample
All23867.36%±80.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

AUG | Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$13.0526.1 coins0.10x
AUG | Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$13.0526.1 coins0.10x
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)weapon · covert$125250 coins$7.5115.01 coins0.06x
AUG | Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$13.0526.1 coins0.10x
Souvenir AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon$125250 coins$94.25189 coins0.75x
P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$125250 coins$3.507 coins0.03x
AUG | Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$13.0526.1 coins0.10x
AUG | Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$125250 coins$13.0526.1 coins0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $12.1K (96.61x)