Arsenal

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.23
0.45 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
157.53%
490 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
288 openings · below min
7 days
490 openings · below min
30 days
490 openings · below min
since tracking started
490 openings · below min
44.0%157.0%270.0%

Small sample. 490 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h288114.13%±69.7—sample
7d490157.53%±111.8—sample
30d490157.53%±111.8—sample
All490157.53%±111.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal$0.230.45 coins$56.78114 coins252.3x
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · Ancient$0.230.45 coins$12.4224.84 coins55.20x
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · AncientRIXLUI$0.230.45 coins$12.4224.84 coins55.20x
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · Ancient$0.230.45 coins$12.4224.84 coins55.20x

Latest dropsnewest first

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.230.45 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.230.45 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.230.45 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.230.45 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.230.45 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · CommonDokka$0.230.45 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.230.45 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.230.45 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · Common$0.230.45 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New)weapon · CommonxKingMamba$0.230.45 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $56.78 (252.3x)