Astro Cache

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$9.35
18.7 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $8.41 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.88%
635 openings, odds method
Variance
5.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
105.36%±28.52256 openings
7 days
102.52%±18.69596 openings
30 days
102.88%±18.11635 openings
since tracking started
102.88%±18.11635 openings
76.0%105.3%134.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h256105.36%±28.5+1.1σodds
7d596102.52%±18.7+1.3σodds
30d635102.88%±18.1+1.4σodds
All635102.88%±18.1+1.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 647 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 200$144 289 coins8.6%53.21.55×
Charm | Hot Saucecharm · uncommon1 in 200$139 278 coins8.3%13.20.31×
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Field-Tested)gloves · sunny1 in 200$134 268 coins8.0%53.21.55×
★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 200$129 258 coins7.7%73.22.16×
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 100$61.60 123 coins7.3%46.50.62×
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient1 in 100$59.52 119 coins7.1%126.51.85×
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 100$56.72 113 coins6.7%96.51.39×
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 100$50.58 101 coins6.0%46.50.62×
Charm | Lil' Avacharm · uncommon1 in 50$28.13 56.25 coins6.7%1312.91.00×
AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 44$18.99 37.97 coins5.1%1614.61.10×
AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 33$14.60 29.19 coins5.2%2219.41.13×
M249 | Shipping Forecast (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 33$12.53 25.05 coins4.5%1219.40.62×
Charm | Disco MACcharm · uncommon1 in 20$8.00 16 coins4.8%3332.41.02×
P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial78.8%$1.52 3.04 coins14.2%504509.50.99×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial$9.3518.7 coins$1.523.04 coins0.16x
P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial$9.3518.7 coins$1.523.04 coins0.16x
P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial$9.3518.7 coins$1.523.04 coins0.16x
P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial$9.3518.7 coins$1.523.04 coins0.16x
P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial$9.3518.7 coins$1.523.04 coins0.16x
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · covert$9.3518.7 coins$50.58101 coins5.41x
P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial$9.3518.7 coins$1.523.04 coins0.16x
P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial$9.3518.7 coins$1.523.04 coins0.16x
P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial$9.3518.7 coins$1.523.04 coins0.16x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$9.3590.00%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 4.0%uncommon 7.5%sunny 0.5%Ancient 1.0%industrial 81.0%classified 3.0%#87c7ff 3.0%best hit —