gambatracker
Live
Big wins
Odin's Vault$1,5673.13xTanked 3: First Blood 2$228102.5xDr. Rock & the Riff Reactor$77.47104.3xInstant Roulette$1,8723.12xSugar Rush 1000$207343.5xSweet Bonanza 2500$5,30253.02xKeno$203270.0xSalon Privé Blackjack G$10K2.00xRetro Tapes$1,00025.00xPlinko$1,440120.0xAge Of Seth Boosted$51.33102.8xCrash$1,9791.96xWild Storm$1,54177.05xTemple Tumble Megaways$76.92192.1xBlackjack$5,6202.00xLightning Baccarat$6,2801.19xRaid Bound$1,4547.27xSugar Rush 1000$182325.5xThunderstruck II Remastered$1,01033.67xBuffalo Hold and Win Extreme 10,000$1,86093.00xEternal Duel$1,0571.67xLe Bandit$43.60109.0xCrazy Time$2,4005.65xBlackjack$4,0012.00x

AUGment

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$107.42
215 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $96.68 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
72.15%
809 openings, odds method
Variance
8.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
41 openings · below min
30 days
72.15%±20.48809 openings
since tracking started
72.15%±20.48809 openings
-0.5%66.5%133.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d4141.86%±91.0—odds
30d80972.15%±20.5−1.7σodds
All80972.15%±20.5−1.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 809 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 100$3,134 6,269 coins32.4%58.10.62×
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 50$528 1,057 coins10.9%1216.20.74×
AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 33$290 579 coins9.0%1524.30.62×
AUG | Midnight Lily (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 33$211 421 coins6.5%2624.31.07×
AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 33$210 420 coins6.5%1624.30.66×
Souvenir AUG | Contractor (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade1 in 25$150 300 coins6.2%3132.40.96×
Souvenir AUG | Storm (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade1 in 20$75.66 151 coins3.9%4440.51.09×
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 20$66.39 133 coins3.4%3240.50.79×
AUG | Copperhead (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 13$59.47 119 coins4.9%6964.71.07×
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 13$52.23 104 coins4.3%6864.71.05×
AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 13$42.99 85.97 coins3.6%6564.71.00×
AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · classified10.0%$28.98 57.96 coins3.0%8980.91.10×
AUG | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · mil spec10.0%$23.38 46.76 coins2.4%9380.91.15×
AUG | Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil spec10.0%$13.05 26.1 coins1.3%7680.90.94×
AUG | Colony (Factory New)weapon · Consumer10.0%$7.90 15.79 coins0.8%8480.91.04×
AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New)weapon · classified10.0%$6.41 12.81 coins0.7%8480.91.04×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert$107215 coins$3,1346,269 coins29.18x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert$107215 coins$3,1346,269 coins29.18x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert$107215 coins$3,1346,269 coins29.18x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert$107215 coins$3,1346,269 coins29.18x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covert$107215 coins$3,1346,269 coins29.18x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$107215 coins$5281,057 coins4.92x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$107215 coins$5281,057 coins4.92x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$107215 coins$5281,057 coins4.92x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$107215 coins$5281,057 coins4.92x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$107215 coins$5281,057 coins4.92x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AUG | Colony (Factory New)weapon · Consumer$107215 coins$7.9015.79 coins0.07x
AUG | Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$107215 coins$13.0526.1 coins0.12x
AUG | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · mil specEliteRift1189$107215 coins$23.3846.76 coins0.22x
AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · classified$107215 coins$28.9857.96 coins0.27x
AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New)weapon · classified$107215 coins$6.4112.81 coins0.06x
AUG | Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$107215 coins$13.0526.1 coins0.12x
AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · classified$107215 coins$28.9857.96 coins0.27x
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$107215 coins$52.23104 coins0.49x
AUG | Colony (Factory New)weapon · Consumer$107215 coins$7.9015.79 coins0.07x
AUG | Copperhead (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$107215 coins$59.47119 coins0.55x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$10790.00%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 3.0%mil spec 23.0%restricted 14.0%Consumer Grade 9.0%Classified 5.0%milspec 8.0%classified 28.0%Consumer 10.0%best hit $3,134 (29.18x)