Aurum
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.67
5.33 coins
Advertised RTP
89.94%
EV $2.40 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.42%
3,786 openings, odds method
Variance
8.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,810 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$2.675.33 coins$226452 coins84.85x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Classifiedyanoee$2.675.33 coins$226452 coins84.85x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.94%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.67 | 89.94% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 0.1%covert 2.6%industrial 1.1%#d32ee6 0.2%Uncommon 0.3%Consumer Grade 0.8%consumer 88.0%blue 2.0%classified 5.0%best hit $226 (84.85x)