Awp 6% rm (battles)

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$21.17
42.34 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
74.59%
2,072 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
82 openings · below min
7 days
75.69%±24.501,644 openings
30 days
74.59%±20.972,072 openings
since tracking started
74.59%±20.972,072 openings
39.0%117.5%196.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h82117.38%±77.9—sample
7d1,64475.69%±24.5—sample
30d2,07274.59%±21.0—sample
All2,07274.59%±21.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$21.1742.34 coins$2,0124,025 coins95.06x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$21.1742.34 coins$2,0124,025 coins95.06x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$21.1742.34 coins$1,2662,533 coins59.82x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$21.1742.34 coins$1,2662,533 coins59.82x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$21.1742.34 coins$1,0022,005 coins47.35x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$21.1742.34 coins$1,0022,005 coins47.35x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$21.1742.34 coins$1,0022,005 coins47.35x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert$21.1742.34 coins$1,0022,005 coins47.35x

Latest dropsnewest first

AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff$21.1742.34 coins$0.531.06 coins0.03x
AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff$21.1742.34 coins$0.531.06 coins0.03x
AWP | PAW (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$21.1742.34 coins$0.681.35 coins0.03x
AWP | PAW (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$21.1742.34 coins$0.681.35 coins0.03x
AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff$21.1742.34 coins$0.531.06 coins0.03x
AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ffrm20bk$21.1742.34 coins$0.531.06 coins0.03x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$21.1742.34 coins$0.070.15 coins0.00x
AWP | BOOM (Factory New)weapon · classified$21.1742.34 coins$259519 coins12.25x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,012 (95.06x)