AWP Juicer
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$699.10
1,398 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $629.19 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.18%
308 openings, odds method
Variance
12.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 308 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$6991,398 coins$41.2K82,490 coins59.00x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert$6991,398 coins$26.7K53,347 coins38.15x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6991,398 coins$223446 coins0.32x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $699 | 90.00% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 67.5%Classified 5.0%classified 11.3%mil spec 5.4%#d32ee6 5.4%Restricted 5.4%best hit $41.2K (59.00x)