BAKI1g 2.4%

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$14.37
28.73 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.22%
702 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
318 openings · below min
30 days
702 openings · below min
since tracking started
702 openings · below min
38.5%126.8%215.0%

Small sample. 702 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d318126.65%±87.7—sample
30d70293.22%±49.8—sample
All70293.22%±49.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert$14.3728.73 coins$1,6993,398 coins118.3x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert$14.3728.73 coins$1,0152,029 coins70.63x
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert$14.3728.73 coins$1,0152,029 coins70.63x
StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$14.3728.73 coins$5571,113 coins38.75x
StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$14.3728.73 coins$5571,113 coins38.75x

Latest dropsnewest first

Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$14.3728.73 coins$0.220.44 coins0.02x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$14.3728.73 coins$0.220.44 coins0.02x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$14.3728.73 coins$0.220.44 coins0.02x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$14.3728.73 coins$0.220.44 coins0.02x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$14.3728.73 coins$0.220.44 coins0.02x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$14.3728.73 coins$0.220.44 coins0.02x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$14.3728.73 coins$0.220.44 coins0.02x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$14.3728.73 coins$0.220.44 coins0.02x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff$14.3728.73 coins$0.220.44 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,699 (118.3x)