Bamboo

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$75.13

150 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $67.61 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d

100.98%

634 openings, odds method

Variance

18.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 28

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

91.4%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

80.93%±56.57220 openings

7 days

91.17%±38.06486 openings

30 days

100.98%±33.33634 openings

since tracking started

100.98%±33.33634 openings

23.5%80.7%138.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	220	80.93%±56.6	−0.3σ	odds
7d	486	91.17%±38.1	+0.1σ	odds
30d	634	100.98%±33.3	+0.6σ	odds
All	634	100.98%±33.3	+0.6σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 634 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$6,222 12,443 coins	9.2%	1	0.6	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 200	$3,288 6,576 coins	24.3%	4	3.2	1.26×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic	1 in 100	$871 1,742 coins	12.9%	8	6.3	1.26×
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)weapon · red · Emerald	1 in 50	$466 933 coins	13.8%	9	12.7	0.71×
★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary	1 in 20	$233 466 coins	17.2%	35	31.7	1.10×
CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 11	$73.00 146 coins	10.1%	57	59.6	0.96×
CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	16.0%	$19.18 38.36 coins	4.5%	88	101.4	0.87×
AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	22.0%	$12.01 24.01 coins	3.9%	144	139.5	1.03×
AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	22.0%	$8.39 16.78 coins	2.7%	158	139.5	1.13×
Tec-9 \| Bamboo Forest (Factory New)weapon · consumer	22.0%	$3.79 7.58 coins	1.2%	130	139.5	0.93×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$75.13150 coins$6,22212,443 coins82.81x7d

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · EmeraldBG2x$75.13150 coins$3,2886,576 coins43.76x5h

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · EmeraldEliteRift1189$75.13150 coins$3,2886,576 coins43.76x1d

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$75.13150 coins$3,2886,576 coins43.76x1d

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$75.13150 coins$3,2886,576 coins43.76x7d

StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic$75.13150 coins$8711,742 coins11.59x5h

StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic$75.13150 coins$8711,742 coins11.59x1d

StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic$75.13150 coins$8711,742 coins11.59x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$75.13150 coins$19.1838.36 coins0.26x2h

CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$75.13150 coins$73.00146 coins0.97x2h

AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$75.13150 coins$12.0124.01 coins0.16x2h

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$75.13150 coins$233466 coins3.10x2h

Tec-9 | Bamboo Forest (Factory New)weapon · consumer$75.13150 coins$3.797.58 coins0.05x2h

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$75.13150 coins$233466 coins3.10x2h

Tec-9 | Bamboo Forest (Factory New)weapon · consumerEliteRift1189$75.13150 coins$3.797.58 coins0.05x2h

AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$75.13150 coins$12.0124.01 coins0.16x2h

Tec-9 | Bamboo Forest (Factory New)weapon · consumer$75.13150 coins$3.797.58 coins0.05x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$75.13	90.00%	10

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.1%covert 0.5%epic 1.0%red 2.0%Extraordinary 5.0%Mil Spec Grade 9.4%mil spec 38.0%blue 22.0%consumer 22.0%best hit $6,222 (82.81x)