Beans Fr

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.99
3.97 coins
Advertised RTP
89.90%
EV $1.78 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.20%
452 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
57 openings · below min
7 days
89.59%±14.08404 openings
30 days
89.20%±13.31452 openings
since tracking started
89.20%±13.31452 openings
39.5%77.8%116.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5777.64%±37.5—odds
7d40489.59%±14.1−0.0σodds
30d45289.20%±13.3−0.1σodds
All45289.20%±13.3−0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 452 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 20,000$252 504 coins0.7%00.0—
FAMAS | Spitfire (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 20,000$127 254 coins0.4%00.0—
Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted1 in 20,000$75.06 150 coins0.2%00.0—
Souvenir XM1014 | CaliCamo (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon1 in 20,000$50.61 101 coins0.1%00.0—
SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 20,000$25.16 50.31 coins0.1%00.0—
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,000$12.52 25.03 coins0.4%00.2—
AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 20$7.18 14.36 coins20.1%1922.60.84×
Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 20$5.50 10.99 coins15.4%2322.61.02×
Negev | Power Loader (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff10.0%$3.66 7.31 coins20.5%4945.21.08×
MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New)weapon · mil spec10.0%$2.53 5.06 coins14.2%4445.20.97×
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New)weapon · restricted20.0%$1.81 3.61 coins20.2%10190.41.12×
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New)weapon · restricted10.0%$1.34 2.67 coins7.5%4745.21.04×
MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer1 in 10$0.02 0.04 coins0.1%3945.20.86×
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 10$0.01 0.03 coins0.1%4145.20.91×
Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested)weapon · #7777771 in 10$0.01 0.02 coins0.1%4445.20.97×
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 10<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%4545.01.00×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New)weapon · restricted$1.993.97 coins$1.342.67 coins0.67x
Negev | Power Loader (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff$1.993.97 coins$3.667.31 coins1.84x
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New)weapon · restricted$1.993.97 coins$1.342.67 coins0.67x
Negev | Power Loader (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff$1.993.97 coins$3.667.31 coins1.84x
Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$1.993.97 coins$5.5010.99 coins2.77x
MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.993.97 coins$0.020.04 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$1.993.97 coins$0.010.03 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$1.993.97 coins$2.535.06 coins1.27x
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New)weapon · restricted$1.993.97 coins$1.813.61 coins0.91x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.90%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$1.9989.90%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 0.0%restricted 30.0%Restricted 0.0%other 0.0%Rare 0.0%mil spec 10.1%covert 5.0%Legendary 5.0%#8847ff 10.0%consumer 10.0%#4b69ff 19.9%#777777 10.0%best hit —