Best Stickers

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$2,576.26

5,153 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $2,318.63 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

119.27%

24 openings, odds method

Variance

0.9×

of price², per opening

Tail share

26.8%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

48.2%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

24 openings · below min

30 days

24 openings · below min

since tracking started

24 openings · below min

81.0%119.2%157.5%

Small sample. 24 openings and 6.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	24	119.27%±37.7	—	odds
30d	24	119.27%±37.7	—	odds
All	24	119.27%±37.7	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 20,000	$73.5K 147,047 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 20,000	$72.4K 144,822 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 20,000	$52.4K 104,780 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 10,000	$36.5K 72,902 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 10,000	$31.6K 63,128 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 10,000	$25.5K 51,019 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 1,000	$9,909 19,817 coins	0.4%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 1,000	$9,457 18,914 coins	0.4%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| LUCAS1 (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker	1 in 1,000	$7,441 14,883 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| bondik (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$7,065 14,130 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Krakow 2017sticker · Extraordinary	1 in 1,000	$6,930 13,859 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 1,000	$6,774 13,548 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable	1 in 500	$6,328 12,655 coins	0.5%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| captainMo (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	1 in 200	$5,513 11,026 coins	1.2%	0	0.1	—
Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 200	$5,306 10,611 coins	1.1%	0	0.1	—
Sticker \| somebody (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	25.0%	$4,480 8,960 coins	48.3%	6	6.0	1.00×
Sticker \| kNgV- (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary	25.0%	$4,260 8,520 coins	45.9%	11	6.0	1.83×
Nova \| Mandrel (Field-Tested)weapon · Common	48.2%	$0.02 0.04 coins	0.0%	7	11.6	0.61×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | somebody (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary$2,5765,153 coins$4,4808,960 coins1.74x2d

Sticker | somebody (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary$2,5765,153 coins$4,4808,960 coins1.74x6d

Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · extraordinaryBriskFang8264$2,5765,153 coins$4,2608,520 coins1.65x2d

Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary$2,5765,153 coins$4,2608,520 coins1.65x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | somebody (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary$2,5765,153 coins$4,4808,960 coins1.74x2d

Nova | Mandrel (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$2,5765,153 coins$0.020.04 coins0.00x2d

Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary$2,5765,153 coins$4,2608,520 coins1.65x2d

Sticker | somebody (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary$2,5765,153 coins$4,4808,960 coins1.74x2d

Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · extraordinaryBriskFang8264$2,5765,153 coins$4,2608,520 coins1.65x2d

Sticker | somebody (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · extraordinary$2,5765,153 coins$4,4808,960 coins1.74x6d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$2,576	90.00%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.6%remarkable 0.4%other 0.1%extraordinary 50.6%Extraordinary 0.1%Common 48.2%best hit $4,480 (1.74x)