big cash only

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.72
5.43 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
541.35%
24 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
8 openings · below min
7 days
8 openings · below min
30 days
24 openings · below min
since tracking started
24 openings · below min
-0.5%2286.8%4574.0%

Small sample. 24 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h81577.21%±2996.3—sample
7d81577.21%±2996.3—sample
30d24541.35%±1000.4—sample
All24541.35%±1000.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Charm | That's Bananascharm · uncommon$2.725.43 coins$333667 coins122.8x

Latest dropsnewest first

USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$2.725.43 coins$1.122.24 coins0.41x
USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$2.725.43 coins$1.122.24 coins0.41x
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified$2.725.43 coins$5.1710.34 coins1.90x
Charm | That's Bananascharm · uncommon$2.725.43 coins$333667 coins122.8x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.725.43 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Tec-9 | Cut Out (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$2.725.43 coins$1.823.63 coins0.67x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$2.725.43 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecstar123$2.725.43 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $333 (122.8x)