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bigNGASONLY

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$346.51
693 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.40%
1,142 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
84.37%±22.541,102 openings
30 days
83.40%±21.801,142 openings
since tracking started
83.40%±21.801,142 openings
61.0%84.3%107.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1,10284.37%±22.5—sample
30d1,14283.40%±21.8—sample
All1,14283.40%±21.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$347693 coins$12.1K24,151 coins34.85x
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$347693 coins$11.7K23,410 coins33.78x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband$347693 coins$10.9K21,888 coins31.58x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$347693 coins$10.6K21,246 coins30.66x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$347693 coins$10.6K21,246 coins30.66x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$347693 coins$10.4K20,866 coins30.11x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$347693 coins$9,92519,850 coins28.64x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$347693 coins$9,92519,850 coins28.64x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$347693 coins$9,92519,850 coins28.64x
Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$347693 coins$9,90919,817 coins28.60x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$347693 coins$4,1988,395 coins12.11x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$347693 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$347693 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffNightlights12$347693 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$347693 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$347693 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$347693 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$347693 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$347693 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffNightlights12$347693 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $12.1K (34.85x)