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Brae 5%

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$48.35
96.69 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
113.93%
422 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
110 openings · below min
7 days
334 openings · below min
30 days
422 openings · below min
since tracking started
422 openings · below min
-0.5%108.5%217.5%

Small sample. 422 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h110105.04%±111.7—sample
7d334110.99%±101.7—sample
30d422113.93%±91.0—sample
All422113.93%±91.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$48.3596.69 coins$7,33514,669 coins151.7x
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$48.3596.69 coins$4,4258,850 coins91.53x
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$48.3596.69 coins$2,6565,311 coins54.93x
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$48.3596.69 coins$2,6565,311 coins54.93x
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$48.3596.69 coins$1,2632,526 coins26.13x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Immortal$48.3596.69 coins$7011,401 coins14.49x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$48.3596.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$48.3596.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$48.3596.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$48.3596.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$48.3596.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerrm20bk$48.3596.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$48.3596.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$48.3596.69 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$48.3596.69 coins$207414 coins4.28x
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$48.3596.69 coins$1,2632,526 coins26.13x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,335 (151.7x)