Brae epstein

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$50.58
101 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
58.63%
160 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
16 openings · below min
7 days
152 openings · below min
30 days
160 openings · below min
since tracking started
160 openings · below min
-0.5%48.0%96.5%

Small sample. 160 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h160.01%±0.00—sample
7d15254.93%±37.2—sample
30d16058.63%±37.3—sample
All16058.63%±37.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert$50.58101 coins$5421,084 coins10.71x
★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert$50.58101 coins$5421,084 coins10.71x
★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert$50.58101 coins$5421,084 coins10.71x
★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · knifes$50.58101 coins$5191,037 coins10.25x
★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · knifes$50.58101 coins$5191,037 coins10.25x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.58101 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.58101 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.58101 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerinsane67$50.58101 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.58101 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.58101 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.58101 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.58101 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.58101 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.58101 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $542 (10.71x)