Bugs Bunny
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$182.69
365 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $164.42 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.21%
3 openings, odds method
Variance
6.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 3 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire | 1 in 100 | $3,617 7,234 coins | 22.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $2,441 4,881 coins | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare | 1 in 50 | $1,353 2,706 coins | 16.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert | 1 in 50 | $574 1,148 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Phase 3 | 1 in 50 | $379 759 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 50 | $346 693 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 50 | $334 668 coins | 4.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| Souvenir Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade | 88.0% | $50.13 100 coins | 26.8% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$183365 coins$50.13100 coins0.27x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Gradeeliboti$183365 coins$50.13100 coins0.27x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $183 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.0%classified 3.0%rare 2.0%Covert 2.0%other 2.0%Industrial Grade 88.0%best hit —