Bumblebee
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.02
20.04 coins
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $9.02 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.92%
388 openings, odds method
Variance
7.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
46.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
53.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 388 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 200 | $329 659 coins | 18.3% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× |
| SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6 | 1 in 100 | $130 259 coins | 14.4% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× |
| FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)weapon · covert | 45.0% | $12.93 25.85 coins | 64.5% | 173 | 174.6 | 0.99× |
| R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · blue | 25.0% | $0.74 1.49 coins | 2.1% | 98 | 97.0 | 1.01× |
| FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 1 in 14 | $0.38 0.75 coins | 0.3% | 23 | 27.6 | 0.83× |
| PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 1 in 14 | $0.37 0.74 coins | 0.3% | 28 | 27.6 | 1.01× |
| R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical | 1 in 14 | $0.21 0.42 coins | 0.2% | 39 | 27.6 | 1.41× |
| SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec | 1 in 14 | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.0% | 22 | 27.6 | 0.80× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.02 | 89.98% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 45.5%#d32ee6 1.0%blue 25.0%restricted 7.1%#4b69ff 7.1%Mythical 7.1%milspec 7.1%best hit —