Candy Brick
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.56
3.11 coins
Advertised RTP
89.89%
EV $1.40 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.63%
2,276 openings, odds method
Variance
10.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
51.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
98.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,280 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade | 1 in 500 | $56.39 113 coins | 8.1% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.32× |
| MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 200 | $43.68 87.36 coins | 15.6% | 8 | 11.4 | 0.70× |
| MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $30.88 61.75 coins | 22.1% | 16 | 22.8 | 0.70× |
| Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 49.3% | $1.53 3.05 coins | 53.8% | 1,132 | 1124.0 | 1.01× |
| MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer | 12.0% | $0.02 0.04 coins | 0.2% | 258 | 273.6 | 0.94× |
| MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade | 12.0% | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.1% | 275 | 273.6 | 1.01× |
| P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 12.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.1% | 259 | 273.6 | 0.95× |
| P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 13.0% | <$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 326 | 296.4 | 1.10× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.89%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.56 | 89.89% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedIndustrial Grade 0.2%restricted 1.5%covert 49.3%consumer 12.0%Consumer Grade 12.0%#4b69ff 25.0%best hit —