Cheap Cheapy

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.15
0.29 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
86.75%
1,360 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
124 openings · below min
7 days
91.41%±22.851,168 openings
30 days
86.75%±20.041,360 openings
since tracking started
86.75%±20.041,360 openings
27.0%71.0%115.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h12463.54%±36.1—sample
7d1,16891.41%±22.9—sample
30d1,36086.75%±20.0—sample
All1,36086.75%±20.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

SCAR-20 | Magna Carta (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.140.29 coins$12.6225.24 coins87.03x

Latest dropsnewest first

FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial$0.140.29 coins$0.010.02 coins0.07x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.140.29 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.03x
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.140.29 coins$0.010.03 coins0.10x
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.140.29 coins$0.010.03 coins0.10x
Nova | Mandrel (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$0.140.29 coins$0.020.04 coins0.14x
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffzkzy29$0.140.29 coins$0.010.03 coins0.10x
FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial$0.140.29 coins$0.010.02 coins0.07x
FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial$0.140.29 coins$0.010.02 coins0.07x
MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.140.29 coins$0.010.03 coins0.10x
FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.140.29 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $12.62 (87.03x)