Cheapy 10%

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.85
3.7 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
212.15%
322 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
52 openings · below min
7 days
156 openings · below min
30 days
322 openings · below min
since tracking started
322 openings · below min
-0.5%330.5%661.5%

Small sample. 322 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h52320.46%±340.2—sample
7d156286.75%±240.8—sample
30d322212.15%±147.0—sample
All322212.15%±147.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert$1.853.7 coins$157314 coins84.99x
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert$1.853.7 coins$157314 coins84.99x
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert$1.853.7 coins$157314 coins84.99x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert$1.853.7 coins$157314 coins84.99x
MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2$1.853.7 coins$0.090.18 coins0.05x
M249 | Gator Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · 2$1.853.7 coins$0.010.02 coins0.01x
G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.853.7 coins$0.030.06 coins0.02x
G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.853.7 coins$0.030.06 coins0.02x
M249 | Gator Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · 2$1.853.7 coins$0.010.02 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2$1.853.7 coins$0.090.18 coins0.05x
M249 | Gator Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · 2$1.853.7 coins$0.010.02 coins0.01x
M249 | Gator Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · 2$1.853.7 coins$0.010.02 coins0.01x
MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2$1.853.7 coins$0.090.18 coins0.05x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $270 (146.2x)