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Cherry eats cherry

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$62.26
125 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
126.27%
134 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
134 openings · below min
7 days
134 openings · below min
30 days
134 openings · below min
since tracking started
134 openings · below min
14.0%126.3%238.5%

Small sample. 134 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h134126.27%±111.5—sample
7d134126.27%±111.5—sample
30d134126.27%±111.5—sample
All134126.27%±111.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$62.26125 coins$4,0978,194 coins65.81x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$62.26125 coins$1,3532,706 coins21.74x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$62.26125 coins$1,3532,706 coins21.74x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$62.26125 coins$9321,864 coins14.97x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$62.26125 coins$9321,864 coins14.97x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$62.26125 coins$9321,864 coins14.97x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$62.26125 coins$4,0978,194 coins65.81x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$62.26125 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$62.26125 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest (Factory New)StatTrak · knife$62.26125 coins$133267 coins2.14x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$62.26125 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$62.26125 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$62.26125 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumercherrylea$62.26125 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$62.26125 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$62.26125 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,097 (65.81x)