Chicken Feet
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$85.38
171 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $76.83 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.96%
830 openings, odds method
Variance
9.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 22
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 830 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$85.38171 coins$1,3812,761 coins16.17x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $85.38 | 89.99% | 13 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.8%Classified 1.0%#4B69FF 1.3%gold 1.3%classified 1.3%violet 6.0%#8847ff 6.0%Consumer Grade 6.0%Rare 36.0%mil spec 36.5%best hit $1,402 (16.43x)