Chimpanzini Bananini
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$46.59
93.17 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $41.93 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
45.21%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald | 1 in 100 | $506 1,012 coins | 12.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 67 | $302 604 coins | 10.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 33 | $176 352 coins | 12.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $122 244 coins | 14.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $72.33 145 coins | 17.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| MP9 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $42.09 84.17 coins | 15.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 25.0% | $18.99 37.97 coins | 11.3% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.00× |
| Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 39.5% | $6.75 13.49 coins | 6.4% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.95× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$46.5993.17 coins$72.33145 coins1.55x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $46.59 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 10.5%restricted 64.5%industrial 25.0%best hit —