Price
$1,549.11
3,098 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
86.42%
138 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 138 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,5493,098 coins$41.2K82,490 coins26.62x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$1,5493,098 coins$36.3K72,651 coins23.45x
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$1,5493,098 coins$18.7K37,392 coins12.07x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$1,5493,098 coins$9,84719,695 coins6.36x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$1,5493,098 coins$9,84719,695 coins6.36x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,5493,098 coins$8,34716,693 coins5.39x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$1,5493,098 coins$8,33816,675 coins5.38x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$1,5493,098 coins$7,65115,302 coins4.94x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$1,5493,098 coins$7,65115,302 coins4.94x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$1,5493,098 coins$7,33514,669 coins4.73x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$1,5493,098 coins$7,13714,274 coins4.61x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $41.2K (26.62x)