Price
$110.84
222 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
50.15%
696 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 696 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$111222 coins$3,6447,288 coins32.87x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$111222 coins$3,6447,288 coins32.87x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby$111222 coins$2,1504,300 coins19.40x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$111222 coins$1,4612,922 coins13.18x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$111222 coins$1,0892,177 coins9.82x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3$111222 coins$8911,782 coins8.04x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$111222 coins$6181,237 coins5.58x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $3,644 (32.87x)