Crimson Pennies

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.50
1 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
80.97%
3,685 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
92 openings · below min
7 days
82.93%±25.072,973 openings
30 days
80.97%±20.723,685 openings
since tracking started
80.97%±20.723,685 openings
30.5%69.5%108.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h9253.78%±22.8—sample
7d2,97382.93%±25.1—sample
30d3,68580.97%±20.7—sample
All3,68580.97%±20.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$0.501 coins$26.8953.78 coins53.78x
AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$0.501 coins$26.8953.78 coins53.78x
AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$0.501 coins$26.8953.78 coins53.78x
AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$0.501 coins$26.8953.78 coins53.78x
AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$0.501 coins$26.8953.78 coins53.78x
AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$0.501 coins$26.8953.78 coins53.78x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$0.501 coins$3.216.41 coins6.41x
USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.501 coins$0.410.82 coins0.82x
USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.501 coins$0.410.82 coins0.82x
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.501 coins$0.070.14 coins0.14x
USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.501 coins$0.410.82 coins0.82x
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.501 coins$0.070.14 coins0.14x
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.501 coins$0.070.14 coins0.14x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$0.501 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.501 coins$0.410.82 coins0.82x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $175 (350.4x)