Cryo
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$8.67
17.33 coins
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $7.80 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.70%
1,403 openings, odds method
Variance
14.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,403 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerMoon1025$8.6717.33 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerApex5887$8.6717.33 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.67 | 89.97% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.1%covert 1.9%restricted 6.0%mil spec 16.0%#4b69ff 5.0%Mythical 5.0%Legendary 11.0%consumer 55.0%best hit $721 (83.25x)