Dark Night
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$21.56
43.12 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $19.40 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.17%
108 openings, odds method
Variance
2.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
39.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
53.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 108 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryprudent$21.5643.12 coins$31.7163.42 coins1.47x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$21.5643.12 coins$31.7163.42 coins1.47x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $21.56 | 90.00% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 0.5%other 0.1%covert 0.5%Knives 0.3%extraordinary 38.0%industrial 7.0%classified 7.0%mil spec 7.0%consumer 7.0%Industrial Grade 7.0%Consumer Grade 25.7%best hit —