Dead Zone

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.83
1.66 coins
Advertised RTP
89.73%
EV $0.74 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.60%
985 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
100.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.3%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
100.30%±18.70144 openings
7 days
92.22%±7.46904 openings
30 days
92.60%±7.15985 openings
since tracking started
92.60%±7.15985 openings
81.0%100.3%119.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h144100.30%±18.7+1.1σodds
7d90492.22%±7.46+0.7σodds
30d98592.60%±7.15+0.8σodds
All98592.60%±7.15+0.8σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 987 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Five-SeveN | Nitro (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,000$20.14 40.27 coins1.4%00.5—
P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 1,000$15.02 30.03 coins2.0%01.0—
Nova | Green Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 1,000$10.01 20.02 coins1.3%11.0—
G3SG1 | Demeter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 200$5.02 10.04 coins3.4%64.91.22×
USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 100$4.00 8 coins5.4%129.91.22×
P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 100$3.50 7 coins4.7%219.92.13×
SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 100$3.16 6.31 coins4.2%99.90.91×
MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 100$2.53 5.06 coins3.4%99.90.91×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 50$1.59 3.18 coins4.3%2419.71.22×
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 50$1.07 2.14 coins2.9%2219.71.11×
CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 50$1.05 2.1 coins2.8%1719.70.86×
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 50$1.04 2.08 coins2.8%2219.71.11×
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 13$0.57 1.14 coins6.1%7979.01.00×
P250 | Contaminant (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade79.3%$0.52 1.04 coins55.3%765782.20.98×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Contaminant (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.831.66 coins$0.521.04 coins0.63x
P250 | Contaminant (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.831.66 coins$0.521.04 coins0.63x
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New)weapon · blue$0.831.66 coins$0.571.14 coins0.69x
P250 | Contaminant (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.831.66 coins$0.521.04 coins0.63x
P250 | Contaminant (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.831.66 coins$0.521.04 coins0.63x
P250 | Contaminant (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.831.66 coins$0.521.04 coins0.63x
P250 | Contaminant (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.831.66 coins$0.521.04 coins0.63x
P250 | Contaminant (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.831.66 coins$0.521.04 coins0.63x
P250 | Contaminant (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$0.831.66 coins$0.521.04 coins0.63x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.73%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$0.8389.73%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedmil spec 1.6%restricted 0.1%industrial 0.1%Rare 1.0%#4b69ff 3.0%Industrial Grade 1.0%Legendary 2.0%classified 2.0%Mythical 2.0%blue 8.0%Mil Spec Grade 79.3%best hit —