Diamond Dash

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$69.58

139 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $62.62 from 3 items

Observed RTP, 30d

97.48%

12 openings, odds method

Variance

2.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

51.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

49.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

12 openings · below min

30 days

12 openings · below min

since tracking started

12 openings · below min

17.5%97.5%177.5%

Small sample. 12 openings and 6.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	12	97.48%±79.1	—	odds
30d	12	97.48%±79.1	—	odds
All	12	97.48%±79.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 50	$696 1,392 coins	22.2%	0	0.2	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	49.0%	$85.96 172 coins	67.3%	9	5.9	1.53×
Charm \| Diamond Dogcharm · rare	49.0%	$13.43 26.86 coins	10.5%	3	5.9	0.51×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.