Digi

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.92
3.84 coins
Advertised RTP
89.95%
EV $1.73 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.80%
778 openings, odds method
Variance
5.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
29 openings · below min
7 days
92.93%±19.35582 openings
30 days
92.80%±16.74778 openings
since tracking started
92.80%±16.74778 openings
-0.5%74.0%148.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2961.33%±86.7—odds
7d58292.93%±19.4+0.3σodds
30d77892.80%±16.7+0.3σodds
All77892.80%±16.7+0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 794 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
P250 | Digital Architect (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 100$33.09 66.18 coins19.2%127.91.51×
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 100$24.16 48.32 coins14.0%47.90.50×
Five-SeveN | Jungle (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade1 in 100$17.64 35.28 coins10.2%87.91.01×
AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 100$13.47 26.94 coins7.8%117.91.39×
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$9.10 18.19 coins5.3%67.90.76×
USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$6.79 13.57 coins3.9%67.90.76×
Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 100$4.88 9.75 coins2.8%67.90.76×
M4A1-S | Nitro (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 100$4.01 8.01 coins2.3%137.91.64×
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 100$3.30 6.59 coins1.9%67.90.76×
Desert Eagle | The Bronze (Factory New)weapon · light blue1 in 100$2.39 4.77 coins1.4%117.91.39×
P2000 | Pulse (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 100$1.84 3.68 coins1.1%137.91.64×
Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted89.0%$0.58 1.17 coins30.1%698706.70.99×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.923.84 coins$0.581.17 coins0.30x
Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.923.84 coins$0.581.17 coins0.30x
Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.923.84 coins$0.581.17 coins0.30x
Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.923.84 coins$0.581.17 coins0.30x
Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.923.84 coins$0.581.17 coins0.30x
Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.923.84 coins$0.581.17 coins0.30x
Nova | Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.923.84 coins$0.581.17 coins0.30x
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$1.923.84 coins$3.306.59 coins1.72x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.95%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$1.9289.95%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 92.0%mil spec 3.0%Consumer Grade 1.0%classified 2.0%Rare 1.0%light blue 1.0%best hit —