Price
$3.84
7.68 coins
Advertised RTP
89.95%
EV $3.45 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.25%
2,280 openings, odds method
Variance
10.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 24
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,280 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Factory New)weapon · blueDarkViper1738$3.847.68 coins$10.3420.68 coins2.69x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.95%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.84 | 89.95% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 20.0%restricted 0.4%classified 4.1%Restricted 0.3%industrial 2.5%mil spec 5.0%blue 2.0%consumer 6.0%Uncommon 15.0%#777777 44.8%best hit —