Dual Wield

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$30.27

60.53 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $27.24 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

104.04%

18 openings, odds method

Variance

1.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

18.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

82.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

18 openings · below min

30 days

18 openings · below min

since tracking started

18 openings · below min

45.5%104.3%163.0%

Small sample. 18 openings and 3.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	18	104.04%±58.1	—	odds
30d	18	104.04%±58.1	—	odds
All	18	104.04%±58.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$293 587 coins	10.8%	0	0.2	—
Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified	1 in 100	$166 333 coins	6.1%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 50	$95.73 191 coins	7.0%	1	0.4	—
Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 25	$94.61 189 coins	13.9%	0	0.7	—
Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Stained (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · industrial	10.0%	$55.81 112 coins	20.5%	2	1.8	1.11×
Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	20.0%	$22.69 45.37 coins	16.7%	3	3.6	0.83×
Dual Berettas \| Pyre (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	20.0%	$17.94 35.88 coins	13.2%	4	3.6	1.11×
Dual Berettas \| Marina (Factory New)weapon · restricted	10.0%	$14.33 28.65 coins	5.3%	2	1.8	1.11×
Dual Berettas \| Black Limba (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 25	$10.34 20.68 coins	1.5%	1	0.7	—
Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 25	$7.44 14.88 coins	1.1%	0	0.7	—
Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 25	$6.75 13.49 coins	1.0%	1	0.7	—
Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 25	$6.70 13.4 coins	1.0%	0	0.7	—
Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 25	$5.50 10.99 coins	0.8%	0	0.7	—
Dual Berettas \| Marina (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 25	$3.52 7.03 coins	0.5%	1	0.7	—
Dual Berettas \| Retribution (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 25	$2.84 5.68 coins	0.4%	0	0.7	—
Dual Berettas \| Balance (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 25	$2.05 4.1 coins	0.3%	2	0.7	—

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · industrial$30.2760.53 coins$55.81112 coins1.84x2d

Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New)weapon · restricted$30.2760.53 coins$6.7513.49 coins0.22x2d

Dual Berettas | Pyre (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$30.2760.53 coins$17.9435.88 coins0.59x2d

Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedaxel02legmail$30.2760.53 coins$3.527.03 coins0.12x2d

Dual Berettas | Pyre (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$30.2760.53 coins$17.9435.88 coins0.59x4d

Dual Berettas | Balance (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$30.2760.53 coins$2.054.1 coins0.07x4d

Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Factory New)weapon · blue$30.2760.53 coins$10.3420.68 coins0.34x4d

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified$30.2760.53 coins$166333 coins5.49x4d

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · industrial$30.2760.53 coins$55.81112 coins1.84x4d

Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$30.2760.53 coins$22.6945.37 coins0.75x4d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$30.27	90.00%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 27.0%classified 7.0%industrial 30.0%mil spec 24.0%blue 4.0%Legendary 4.0%Mil Spec Grade 4.0%best hit —