Eagle Eggs

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$10.59

21.18 coins

Advertised RTP

89.99%

EV $9.53 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

100.49%

467 openings, odds method

Variance

5.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 20

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

90.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

8 openings · below min

7 days

89.04%±23.39368 openings

30 days

100.49%±20.76467 openings

since tracking started

100.49%±20.76467 openings

-0.5%88.3%177.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	8	17.96%±158.6	—	odds
7d	368	89.04%±23.4	−0.1σ	odds
30d	467	100.49%±20.8	+1.0σ	odds
All	467	100.49%±20.8	+1.0σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 467 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100	$122 244 coins	12.8%	4	4.7	0.86×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 100	$110 220 coins	11.5%	3	4.7	0.64×
Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$98.39 197 coins	10.3%	7	4.7	1.50×
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$93.95 188 coins	9.9%	8	4.7	1.71×
Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100	$75.78 152 coins	8.0%	5	4.7	1.07×
Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$70.92 142 coins	7.4%	5	4.7	1.07×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$61.68 123 coins	6.5%	4	4.7	0.86×
Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$57.63 115 coins	6.0%	5	4.7	1.07×
Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$49.36 98.71 coins	5.2%	4	4.7	0.86×
Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 100	$39.25 78.5 coins	4.1%	11	4.7	2.36×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New)weapon · restricted	15.0%	$3.48 6.95 coins	5.5%	77	70.0	1.10×
Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New)weapon · restricted	15.0%	$2.69 5.38 coins	4.2%	62	70.0	0.89×
Desert Eagle \| The Bronze (Factory New)weapon · light blue	15.0%	$2.39 4.77 coins	3.8%	70	70.0	1.00×
Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restricted	15.0%	$1.27 2.54 coins	2.0%	82	70.0	1.17×
Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Factory New)weapon · blue	15.0%	$1.04 2.08 coins	1.6%	65	70.0	0.93×
Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Factory New)weapon · blue	15.0%	$0.72 1.45 coins	1.1%	55	70.0	0.79×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restricted$10.5921.18 coins$1.272.54 coins0.12x22h

Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New)weapon · restricted$10.5921.18 coins$3.486.95 coins0.33x22h

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restricted$10.5921.18 coins$1.272.54 coins0.12x22h

Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)weapon · restricted$10.5921.18 coins$2.695.38 coins0.25x22h

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)weapon · blue$10.5921.18 coins$0.721.45 coins0.07x22h

Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Factory New)weapon · blue$10.5921.18 coins$1.042.08 coins0.10x22h

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restrictedaxel02legmail$10.5921.18 coins$1.272.54 coins0.12x22h

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covertaxel02legmail$10.5921.18 coins$49.3698.71 coins4.66x1d

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)weapon · blue$10.5921.18 coins$0.721.45 coins0.07x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$10.59	89.99%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 4.0%classified 3.0%restricted 47.0%industrial 1.0%light blue 15.0%blue 30.0%best hit —