Eagle Time
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$6.02
12.04 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $5.42 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.19%
1,008 openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,008 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $70.92 142 coins | 13.1% | 6 | 10.1 | 0.60× |
| Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 33 | $57.63 115 coins | 31.9% | 34 | 30.2 | 1.12× |
| Desert Eagle | Night (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 20 | $39.25 78.5 coins | 36.2% | 51 | 50.4 | 1.01× |
| Desert Eagle | Night (Field-Tested)weapon · light blue | 11.0% | $5.81 11.61 coins | 11.8% | 104 | 110.9 | 0.94× |
| Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Factory New)weapon · blue | 20.0% | $1.04 2.08 coins | 3.8% | 178 | 201.6 | 0.88× |
| Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Field-Tested)weapon · blue | 20.0% | $0.72 1.45 coins | 2.7% | 205 | 201.6 | 1.02× |
| Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 20.0% | $0.09 0.17 coins | 0.3% | 224 | 201.6 | 1.11× |
| Desert Eagle | Mudder (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2 | 20.0% | $0.04 0.08 coins | 0.1% | 206 | 201.6 | 1.02× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.02 | 89.99% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 20.0%classified 4.0%industrial 5.0%light blue 11.0%blue 40.0%#4b69ff 20.0%best hit —