Energize
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$335.73
671 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $302.15 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
72.60%
3 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
56.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 3 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary | 1 in 100 | $1,757 3,515 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · covert | 1 in 33 | $1,396 2,792 coins | 13.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified | 20.0% | $595 1,191 coins | 39.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| MP9 | Bulldozer (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $478 956 coins | 31.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · rare | 10.0% | $253 506 coins | 8.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New)weapon · covert | 11.5% | $21.68 43.36 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 11.5% | $1.16 2.32 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| M4A4 | Converter (Factory New)weapon · blue | 11.5% | $0.55 1.1 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2 | 11.5% | $0.09 0.18 coins | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $336 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 11.5%legendary 1.0%covert 14.5%classified 20.0%restricted 31.5%rare 10.0%blue 11.5%best hit —