Eye of Horus

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$1,235.10

2,470 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $1,111.59 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

96.37%

16 openings, odds method

Variance

0.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

42.1%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

42.9%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

8 openings · below min

30 days

16 openings · below min

since tracking started

16 openings · below min

67.5%114.8%162.0%

Small sample. 16 openings and 6.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	8	121.51%±40.0	—	odds
30d	16	96.37%±28.3	—	odds
All	16	96.37%±28.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 10,000	$8,862 17,724 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 10,000	$7,335 14,669 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl	1 in 5,000	$6,321 12,641 coins	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014sticker · legendary	1 in 2,500	$5,306 10,611 coins	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband	1 in 1,429	$4,761 9,523 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
AWP \| The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 909	$3,086 6,171 coins	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Boston 2018sticker · Extraordinary	1 in 333	$2,401 4,803 coins	0.6%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire	1 in 200	$2,251 4,502 coins	1.0%	1	0.1	—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2	1 in 100	$2,052 4,105 coins	1.8%	0	0.2	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3	12.5%	$1,918 3,835 coins	21.6%	3	2.0	1.50×
★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert knife	12.5%	$1,750 3,500 coins	19.7%	3	2.0	1.50×
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Phase 3	15.0%	$1,606 3,212 coins	21.7%	2	2.4	0.83×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	15.0%	$1,350 2,701 coins	18.2%	0	2.4	0.00×
★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	10.0%	$860 1,721 coins	7.7%	1	1.6	0.63×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire	10.0%	$451 903 coins	4.1%	3	1.6	1.88×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	22.9%	$121 242 coins	2.5%	3	3.7	0.82×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 12 Nov, 14:06 UTC.