FARM CASE

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.11

0.22 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

100.40%

8,904 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

294.44%±568.192,944 openings

7 days

100.61%±188.298,884 openings

30 days

100.40%±187.868,904 openings

since tracking started

100.40%±187.868,904 openings

-0.5%431.5%863.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	2,944	294.44%±568.2	—	sample
7d	8,884	100.61%±188.3	—	sample
30d	8,904	100.40%±187.9	—	sample
All	8,904	100.40%±187.9	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$0.110.22 coins$9391,878 coins8,535x17h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$0.110.22 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.05x12h

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerBriskVault1293$0.110.22 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.05x12h

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$0.110.22 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.05x12h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $939 (8,535x)