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Flexez 10%

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$125.00
250 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
96.05%
146 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
22 openings · below min
7 days
90 openings · below min
30 days
146 openings · below min
since tracking started
146 openings · below min
1.5%163.8%326.0%

Small sample. 146 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h22164.24%±161.3—sample
7d90113.96%±111.9—sample
30d14696.05%±72.8—sample
All14696.05%±72.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl$125250 coins$5,89311,786 coins47.14x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$125250 coins$1,9353,870 coins15.48x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$125250 coins$1,4402,880 coins11.52x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$125250 coins$1,1972,393 coins9.57x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2ilovegoon$125250 coins$1,1972,393 coins9.57x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2$125250 coins$9741,949 coins7.79x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2$125250 coins$9741,949 coins7.79x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2$125250 coins$9741,949 coins7.79x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$125250 coins$6361,272 coins5.09x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$125250 coins$1,1972,393 coins9.57x
MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$125250 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New)weapon · Consumer GradeBlankGhost0077$125250 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$125250 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2$125250 coins$462923 coins3.69x
MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$125250 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$125250 coins$1,9353,870 coins15.48x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2$125250 coins$462923 coins3.69x
MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$125250 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$125250 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,893 (47.14x)