Galil Rift
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$27.03
54.05 coins
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $24.32 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
70.38%
38 openings, odds method
Variance
3.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 38 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 1 in 40 | $277 555 coins | 28.5% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $132 263 coins | 27.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 33 | $85.84 172 coins | 10.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| Souvenir Galil AR | VariCamo (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon | 1 in 33 | $75.08 150 coins | 9.3% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.63× |
| StatTrak™ Galil AR | Shattered (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff | 1 in 50 | $59.36 119 coins | 4.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · violet | 1 in 25 | $45.23 90.45 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| Galil AR | Urban Rubble (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 22.0% | $11.27 22.53 coins | 10.2% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.72× |
| Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary | 58.5% | $0.87 1.74 coins | 2.1% | 25 | 22.2 | 1.12× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$27.0354.05 coins$0.871.74 coins0.03x
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$27.0354.05 coins$0.871.74 coins0.03x
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$27.0354.05 coins$0.871.74 coins0.03x
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · LegendaryDemonDeeeeek$27.0354.05 coins$0.871.74 coins0.03x
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$27.0354.05 coins$0.871.74 coins0.03x
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$27.0354.05 coins$0.871.74 coins0.03x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$27.0354.05 coins$132263 coins4.87x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$27.0354.05 coins$132263 coins4.87x
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendaryaxel02legmail$27.0354.05 coins$0.871.74 coins0.03x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $27.03 | 89.98% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 7.5%mil spec 3.0%other 3.0%#4b69ff 2.0%violet 4.0%industrial 22.0%Legendary 58.5%best hit —