Gamma Loadout
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.93
5.85 coins
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $2.63 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.01%
698 openings, odds method
Variance
5.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
58.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 698 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$2.935.85 coins$171341 coins58.33x
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$2.935.85 coins$153307 coins52.45x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.93 | 89.97% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 7.1%classified 12.0%covert knife 0.1%light blue 13.0%mil spec 10.0%pink 4.0%Consumer Grade 1.0%Mythical 3.0%restricted 25.0%consumer 24.9%best hit $171 (58.33x)