Price
$186.74
373 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
96.45%
80 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 80 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$187373 coins$3,6447,288 coins19.51x
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$187373 coins$3,5927,183 coins19.23x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire$187373 coins$2,2514,502 coins12.05x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby$187373 coins$1,5433,086 coins8.26x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$187373 coins$1,3582,716 coins7.27x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$187373 coins$1,0102,020 coins5.41x
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$187373 coins$5061,012 coins2.71x
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$187373 coins$5061,012 coins2.71x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$187373 coins$1,3582,716 coins7.27x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $3,644 (19.51x)