Giga Headshot

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3,347.87
6,696 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $3,013.08 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
4.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
58.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert1 in 1,000$217K 434,217 coins7.2%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband1 in 33$10.9K 21,888 coins10.9%00.0—
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 33$9,355 18,710 coins9.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary1 in 33$8,972 17,944 coins8.9%00.0—
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 13$4,198 8,395 coins11.1%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary1 in 13$3,948 7,896 coins10.5%00.0—
Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert1 in 13$3,920 7,840 coins10.4%00.0—
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert1 in 13$3,722 7,444 coins9.9%00.0—
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 14$3,126 6,252 coins7.3%00.0—
Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert1 in 14$2,694 5,388 coins6.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 17$1,828 3,656 coins3.6%00.0—
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Covert1 in 17$1,151 2,301 coins2.3%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 17$1,036 2,071 coins2.1%00.0—
FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New)weapon · consumer1 in 11$24.98 49.95 coins0.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 11$24.31 48.62 coins0.1%00.0—
SCAR-20 | Palm (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon1 in 11$24.29 48.58 coins0.1%00.0—
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$3,34890.00%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 53.1%contraband 3.0%legendary 11.0%Covert 6.0%consumer 9.0%classified 9.0%Uncommon 8.9%