Price
$621.95
1,244 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $559.75 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.45%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
38.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
36.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$6221,244 coins$7831,565 coins1.26x
★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New)gloves · legendaryBlankTorch7918$6221,244 coins$7591,518 coins1.22x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New)gloves · legendaryBlankTorch7918$6221,244 coins$7591,518 coins1.22x
★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$6221,244 coins$7831,565 coins1.26x
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$6221,244 coins$50.22100 coins0.08x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Field-Tested)gloves · goldBlankTorch7918$6221,244 coins$51.00102 coins0.08x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $622 | 90.00% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 13.3%extraordinary 62.0%#eb4b4b 12.5%gold 12.1%best hit $824 (1.32x)