Price
$79.99
160 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $71.99 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
103.24%
238 openings, odds method
Variance
13.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 238 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$79.99160 coins$1,2522,504 coins15.65x
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$79.99160 coins$1,2522,504 coins15.65x
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Field-Tested)gloves · epicEliteRift1189$79.99160 coins$1,0712,142 coins13.39x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $79.99 | 90.00% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 15.0%legendary 0.0%epic 1.5%restricted 23.5%Common 12.0%industrial 12.0%covert 12.0%pink 12.0%classified 12.0%best hit $1,289 (16.11x)